NSE: MONTECARLO
Strengths
Healthy business risk profile with established market position
MCFL has an established market position with Monte Carlo being one of the leading industry players in the summer and winter wear market. The company had a strong distribution and retail network with 411 exclusive brand outlets (EBOs), 2116 multi-brand stores (MBOs), 902 national chain stores (NCS), and 422 other types of stores as of March 31, 2024. This large and diverse retail footprint enables MCFL to reach a broad customer base, drive consistent sales, and maintain a competitive edge in the industry.
Strong financial risk profile
The strength of MCFL is the woolen portfolio under the Monte Carlo brand (28.4% of sales). Within its segment, this has an estimated 50% market share of the organized segment. Monte Carlo woollen sweaters command high gross margins and this segment is the main source of income for the company.
Weaknesses
Over-reliance of MCFL on Q3 (October to December) for its business
MCFL has been expanding its presence across the south, west and central regions by opening new stores. However, since there are still fewer stores in the west and central areas, these regions only contribute 20% of the company’s total revenue, meaning most of its sales still come from the north and east regions. Additionally, MCFL’s sales tend to rise during the winter season (Q3) and festive periods, leading to seasonal fluctuations. If the winter season is weaker than usual, it could hurt demand and reduce overall sales.
MCFL has a heavy reliance on outsourcing for garment manufacturing
MCFL outsources the manufacturing of about 85% of cotton garments and entire home furnishing goods to third parties. Cotton margins are also lower as the manufacturing is outsourced but the more important reason is that brand strength in cotton is relatively weak. Trade margins are also higher.
Therefore, an investor would appreciate that MCFL acts more like a marketing company instead of a majorly manufacturing company.
Intense competition in the apparel industry
The competition faced by MCFL is intense and it is not able to establish itself or take market share away from existing players on the strength of its brand. It has to follow the discount levels offered by competitors to attract customers to its stores and to get rid of the inventory at the end of season sales. In addition, in the South Indian market, it could not penetrate despite offering its products at a lower price than what its competitors offer.
It indicates that MCFL does not have a distinct competitive advantage over its consumers when compared to its peers.
Challenges
Slow Market Penetration in West and South Due to Brand Perception as Winter-Wear Focused
MCFL draws 95% of its sales from North, East, and Central India. It has been trying to diversify its presence in the West and South. So far, they have seen limited success as the share of West and South has stagnated at single digits for many years. One clear challenge here is that consumers in the South and West do not buy winter apparel and have no connection with the Monte Carlo brand. The company thus needs to invest aggressively in building its brand in these regions for other non-winter products. Despite hard efforts by the company, Monte Carlo is perceived as a winter-wear brand and the company is not able to break this perception. MCFL highlighted this challenge in its red herring prospectus.
Threat
MCFL does not have any superior pricing power in the industry
The company is completely at the mercy of competitors in the terms of prices at which it can sell its garments to the customers. Company has clearly highlighted to the shareholders that it has to follow the market. If the competitors start discounts early, then it has to start it too. If the competitors start the discounting season with deep discounts, then it has to offer deep discounts as well.
In FY2018, when MCFL witnessed a decline in its sales turnover, then it highlighted that deep discounts offered by all the brands even before the actual discounting season started led to a fall in the sales revenue as well as profit margins. (Conference call, May 2018, page 5)
MCFL stressed that no brand; however strong, whether Indian or international can survive without discounts. (Conference call, May 2018, page 5)
In FY2019, MCFL reported a sharp decline in the profit margins when its OPM declined from 20% in FY2018 to 15% in FY2019, then the company mentioned that it had to offer deep discounts because its competitors started giving large discounts right at the start of the discounting season. As a result, its profit margins suffered. (Conference call, May 2019, page 16)
MCFL highlighted in the current scenario, no brand can survive without discounts. The company highlighted that the intense competition and the resulting discounts are a major threat to its business. (FY2018 annual report, page 49)
Company told investors that the competitive pressure in the terms of discounts is so much that the company is finding it difficult to maintain its profit margins. (Conference call, May 2021, page 17)