Paytm Shares Drop 10% as Government Denies MDR Comeback

3 Min Read
Highlights
  • Paytm shares crash 10% after MDR speculation denied.
  • Finance Ministry confirms UPI will stay zero-MDR.
  • Revenue growth under pressure; margins may shrink 10%.
  • Paytm shifts focus to lending, insurance, and financial services.

On June 12, 2025, Paytm shares crashed nearly 10%, hitting an intraday low of about ₹864 on both BSE and NSE. The sharp fall came after the Finance Ministry clearly denied any plans to bring back the Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) on UPI transactions, which dashed investor hopes for higher revenue.

MDR is a small fee that merchants pay to banks or payment platforms for processing digital payments. Since 2020, UPI payments have operated under a zero-MDR model, fully backed by government incentives. Recently, Paytm and other payment firms had pushed for a 0.3% MDR on large merchants to help cover rising costs. However, the Finance Ministry called these reports false and misleading, reaffirming its stand on free digital payments.

The denial came as a surprise to many investors who had already factored in possible revenue gains from MDR. This led to the sell-off. While the stock did recover slightly, it still closed around 6–7% lower than the previous day. Analysts at UBS warned that without MDR or stronger government incentives, Paytm’s profit margins may shrink by over 10% for FY26–27.

The competition in India’s digital payments space remains fierce, with giants like PhonePe and Google Pay controlling nearly 80% of the market. Paytm is under pressure to protect its margins. Even Mobikwik’s stock saw declines after the MDR clarification.

For investors, this situation shows how sensitive fintech stocks are to government policies. Without MDR, Paytm will need to rely more on lending, insurance, and financial services to grow revenue. Traders are closely watching technical support levels near ₹880–900, with further downside possible toward ₹800 if selling continues.

Looking ahead, the market is waiting for:

– Any new government incentives beyond the current ₹1,500 crore support.

– Progress in Paytm’s financial services and lending businesses.

– Any further policy moves from the Payments Council of India (PCI).

Bottom line: The 10% drop in Paytm’s stock came after the government’s firm rejection of MDR rumors, shaking up investor expectations. Now, Paytm’s future growth depends on how well it can diversify its business beyond payments.

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